Wednesday, November 30, 2022

More on Overnight 50 Retracements

More backtesting on this.

 Weds last week: opened just below the overnight 50 and hit it in the first minute and eventually retraced to it after a breakout at 11.55 am (5 min candle):

Light purple is midnight open, dark purple is RTH, white is midnight open NYT and 830 news drop, blue line is overnight 50 fib. 

Tuesday (11/22) last week, just missed the 50 by a tick, but was very close. Short off open targeting the 50 was the trade despite the gap up. Got to the 50 in about 10 minutes (2nd 5 min candle). 


Monday last week - pop off open and then retrace to the o/n 50 in six minutes. That would have been a little harder of a trade than the rest, but now we have gone back a full trading week and it’s hit the 50 every time. I know on Friday the 18, it did it as well as Thursday the 17th. So from 11/17 to 11/30, the overnight 50 retraced during RTH every single time. The longest it took to get there was one hour. Most times it gets there within the first 15 minutes. 



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